Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.122592 0.136465 0.150662 0.166238 0.182809 0.199874 0.218740
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.106842 0.126350 0.147049 0.170515 0.196251 0.223496 0.254396
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.092514 0.115628 0.140960 0.170502 0.203735 0.239713 0.281353
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.083559 0.109690 0.139147 0.174330 0.214746 0.259290 0.311670
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.074805 0.103007 0.135668 0.175555 0.222254 0.274550 0.336905
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.066615 0.096180 0.131332 0.175177 0.227421 0.286783 0.358449
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.060286 0.091032 0.128494 0.176124 0.233772 0.300112 0.381066
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.053923 0.085276 0.124440 0.175188 0.237550 0.310193 0.399741
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050293 0.082747 0.124146 0.178635 0.246427 0.326165 0.425249
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045899 0.078826 0.121778 0.179245 0.251655 0.337669 0.445416
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.041749 0.074902 0.119131 0.179264 0.255970 0.347949 0.464050
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.037529 0.070535 0.115618 0.177931 0.258406 0.355817 0.479703
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034522 0.067807 0.114280 0.179488 0.264646 0.368589 0.501661
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032643 0.066619 0.114957 0.183645 0.274179 0.385445 0.528664
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029562 0.063323 0.112494 0.183453 0.278026 0.395211 0.547018
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027976 0.062260 0.113112 0.187368 0.287169 0.411587 0.573532
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025764 0.059991 0.111848 0.188600 0.292739 0.423460 0.594509
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023305 0.057089 0.109486 0.188177 0.296034 0.432404 0.611838
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021412 0.054989 0.108194 0.189153 0.301118 0.443586 0.631953
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019218 0.052142 0.105607 0.188166 0.303479 0.451233 0.647622
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018231 0.051424 0.106252 0.191770 0.312020 0.466820 0.673299
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016686 0.049502 0.104902 0.192406 0.316478 0.477123 0.692324
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015144 0.047427 0.103190 0.192425 0.320032 0.486223 0.709823